article from August 18, 2011
By Jamie Douglas
The past few days have brought several interesting news
items from the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela to the forefront. Let’s get the
one out of the way right away: President Hugo Chávez returned from Cuba after
the latest round of chemotherapy, and according to his blog, he is feeling better and his cancer
has not metastasized. Personally I am still in the dark as to why he could not
find proper treatment in his own country.
The good news about Venezuela’s crude oil industry is the
proclamation by OPEC that Venezuela now is sitting on top of the largest proven
reserves in the world, exceeding those even of Saudi Arabia. The national oil
monopoly, PDVSA, is fourth in the world’s rankings of oil companies.
The country should be sitting on a big pile of cash, but for
years of unchecked spending and corruption. Unfortunately, many if not most of
the social programs that have been announced to gain the support of the masses
never really got off the ground. Added to this lack of proper fiscal planning,
with Chávez having promised the Moon to many poorer Latin American nations, is an
astonishing level of corruption that, together, have cost the Venezuelan treasury
billions of US dollars (half a billion has been stolen from the PDVSA’s pension
fund by a Ponzi scheme).
In spite of this wealth in the ground, the nation’s leader
has been in direct contact with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin to obtain
an express loan worth US$4 billion. Time will tell what that Wiley Russian Fox
will extract in concessions from Venezuela in exchange for the loan, but one
thing seems certain: It will come with not just strings, but ropes attached. It
is a given that the New Russia, while not so much engaged in a “communism vs. capitalism”
struggle as during the Cold War, is finding itself playing second fiddle to
China in Latin America. Getting a good foothold in Venezuela will at least make
for some face saving. While Russia itself has an abundant supply of energy
resources, it is never enough in a world of shrinking supplies.
These latest twin announcements from the president also involve
the nation’s currency reserves and gold stash. The finance ministry is studying
a plan to transfer over US$6 billion in cash away from US and European banks to
more allied countries’ financial institutions. Brazil, Russia and China are of
prime consideration in the transfer of the cash. They are also considering
moving 211 tons of gold that is being held in European banks to the Caracas
Central Bank vault, where it would be added to the 154 tons already there,
making it a total of 365 tons in local storage.
Then cometh the announcement that President Hugo Chávez
wants to nationalize the gold industry, so as to gain complete control of
production and increase the output of the mines. He stated that it will be “by
a decree to take the gold sector, which still remains in the hands of the mafia
and smugglers.”
Chávez is preparing to make some new friends again.
Venezuela certainly is a nation in flux. So stay tuned for the next exciting
future history episode of the Bolivarian Colossus.
Jamie Douglas
San Rafael, Mendoza
Where the Malbec Wine is Always Fine!
[Image of Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez via Wikipedia]
[Image of Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez via Wikipedia]
I encourage you to write me at cruzansailor [at] gmail [dot] com with
any questions or suggestions you may have. Disclaimer: I am not in any
travel-related business. My advice is based on my own experiences and is free
of charge (Donations welcome). It is always my pleasure to act as a beneficial
counselor to those who are seekers of the next adventure.
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